Generation Film’s 2017 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Below are my predictions for the 2017 Academy Award nominations before they’re officially announced on Tuesday, January 24th a week from now. I’ll admit there’s a bit of bias in some of the prognostications…especially in my denial of Meryl Streep in my Best Actress pick, Hidden Figures as a Best Picture pick, as well as a love for Martin Scorsese’s Silence in other categories (Edit: went with the safe picks in Sound Editing/Mixing and removed Silence). There will probably be egg on my face with Hidden Figures, mostly because it’s a crowd-pleasing hug around the heart that many, including supposedly artistic minded Academy members, can’t ignore. But I’ll be fine to get an occasional placement wrong when I’m fairly confident I’m about 85% on the nose here. But feel free to look it over, and be sure to comment whether you’re in agreement with my on the pulse guesses or if I’m just downright incorrect. My official choices for who will win each category will come very soon after the official announcement.

moonlightBest Picture

Definite Eight:

Moonlight

La La Land

Manchester By the Sea

Hell or High Water

Arrival

Lion

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

 Back Two:

Nocturnal Animals

Deadpool

 Potential Upsets: Hidden Figures, Silence, or Loving

Whiplash-6078.cr2

 Best Director

Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester By the Sea)

Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)

Garth Davis (Lion)

Potential Upsets: Martin Scorsese (Silence), Denzel Washington (Fences), or Pablo Larrain (Jackie)

manchester-by-the-sea

Best Actor

Casey Affleck (Manchester By the Sea)

Ryan Gosling (La La Land)

Denzel Washington (Fences)

Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)

Viggo Mortenson (Captain Fantastic)

Potential Upsets: Joel Edgerton (Loving), Jake Gyllenhaal (Nocturnal Animals), Tom Hanks (Sully)

jackie

Best Actress

Emma Stone (La La Land)

Isabelle Huppert (Elle)

Amy Adams (Arrival)

Natalie Portman (Jackie)

Annette Bening (20th Century Women)

Potential Upsets: Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins), Ruth Negga (Loving), Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures)

moonlight1

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)

Lucas Hedges (Manchester By the Sea)

Aaron-Taylor Johnson (Nocturnal Animals)

Dev Patel (Lion)

Potential Upsets: Hugh Grant (Florence Foster Jenkins), Issei Ogata (Silence), Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

viola-davis

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis (Fences)

Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea)

Nicole Kidman (Lion)

Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

Potential Upsets: Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Felicity Jones (A Monster Calls), Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures)

moonlight-1

Best Adapted Screenplay

Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)

Arrival (Eric Heisserer)

Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford)

Lion (Luke Davies)

Fences (August Wilson)

Potential Upsets: Hidden Figures (Allison Schroeder & Theodore Melfi), Deadpool (Rhett Reese & Paul Wernick), Silence (Martin Scorsese & Jay Cocks)

hell-or-high-water

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)

La La Land (Damien Chazelle)

Manchester By the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)

The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou)

Jackie (Noah Oppenheim)

Potential Upsets: 20th Century Women (Mike Mills), Zootopia (Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Phil Johnson, Jennifer Lee, Rich Moore, Jim Reardon, & Josie Trinidad), Toni Erdmann (Maren Ade)

ZOOTOPIA

Best Animated Feature

Moana

Kubo and the Two Strings

The Red Turtle

My Life as a Zucchini

Zootopia

Potential Upsets: Finding Dory, Sing, Miss Hokusai

toni-erdmann

Best Foreign Language Film

Toni Erdmann (Germany)

The Salesman (Iran)

Land of Mine (Denmark)

My Life as a Zucchini (Switzerland)

A Man Called Ove (Sweden)

Potential Upsets: Paradise (Russia), Tanna (Australia), It’s Only the End of the World (Canada)

13th

Best Documentary Feature

13th (Ava DuVernay)

O.J.: Made in America (Ezra Edelman)

Cameraperson (Kristen Johnson)

Life, Animated (Roger Ross Williams)

The Eagle Huntress (Otto Bell)

Potential Upsets: Weiner (Josh Kriegman & Elyse Sternberg), I Am Not Your Negro (Raoul Peck), Zero Days (Alex Gibney)

arrival

Best Cinematography

Greig Fraser (Lion)

Rodrigo Prieto (Silence)

Bradford Young (Arrival)

Linus Sandgren (La La Land)

James Laxton (Moonlight)

Potential Upsets: Stephane Fontaine (Jackie), Seamus McGarvey (Nocturnal Animals), Giles Nuttgens (Hell or High Water)

LLL d 12 _2353.NEF

Best Film Editing

Tom Cross (La La Land)

Joe Walker (Arrival)

Jennifer Lame (Manchester By the Sea)

Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders (Moonlight)

John Gilbert (Hacksaw Ridge)

Potential Upsets: Julian Clarke (Deadpool), Jake Roberts (Hell or High Water), Joan Sobel (Nocturnal Animals)

la-land-7

Best Original Score

Nicholas Britell (Moonlight)

Justin Hurwitz (La La Land)

Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka (Lion)

Mica Levi (Jackie)

Nick Cave and Warren Ellis (Hell or High Water)

Potential Upsets: John Williams (The BFG), Michael Giacchino (Rogue One: A Star Wars Story), John Debney (The Jungle Book), Alexandre Desplat (Florence Foster Jenkins)

la-la-land-gosling

Best Original Song

“Audition” (Emma Stone: written by Hurwitz, Pasek and Paul, La La Land)

“How Far I’ll Go (Auli’i Cravalho: written by Opetaia Foa’I, Mark Mancina, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Moana)

“City of Stars” (Ryan Gosling: written by Hurwitz, Pasek and Paul, La La Land)

“Can’t Stop the Feeling” (Justin Timberlake: written by Max Martin, Shellback, and Timberlake, Trolls)

“Drive It Like You Stole It” (Sing Street: written by John Carney, Gary Clark Jr., & Relish, Sing Street)

Potential Upsets: “Flicker” (Tori Amos, Audre & Daisy), “Try Everything” (Zootopia), “Faith” (Stevie Wonder, Sing), Runnin’ (Pharrell Williams, Hidden Figures)

silence2

Best Production Design

Sandy Reynolds-Wasco, David Wasco (La La Land)

Patrice Vermette; Paul Hotte (Arrival)

Jean Rabasse; Veronique Melery (Jackie)

Dante Ferretti; Francesca Lo Schiavo (Silence)

Stuart Craig, Anna Pinock (Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them)

Potential Upsets: Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh (Hail, Caesar!), Christopher Glass, Amanda Moss Serino (The Jungle Book), Doug Chiang, Neil Lamont (Rogue One: A Star Wars Story)

fantastic-beasts

Best Costume Design

Madeline Fontaine (Jackie)

Mary Zophres (La La Land)

Dante Ferretti (Silence)

Eimer Ní Mhaoldomhnaigh (Love & Friendship)

Colleen Atwood (Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them)

Potential Upsets: Consolata Boyle (Florence Foster Jenkins), Joanna Johnston (Allied), Sharen Davis (Fences)

deadpool2

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Deadpool

A Man Called Ove

Florence Foster Jenkins

Potential Upsets: Hail, Caesar!, Star Trek Beyond

hacksaw-ridge

Best Sound Editing

La La Land

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

The Jungle Book

Rogue One: A Star War Story

Potential Upsets: Silence, Doctor Strange, Deepwater Horizon

THE JUNGLE BOOK

Best Sound Mixing

La La Land

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

The Jungle Book

Potential Upsets: Silence, Doctor Strange, Deepwater Horizon

 jungle-book2

Best Visual Effects

The Jungle Book

Arrival

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Doctor Strange

Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them

Potential Upsets: Captain America: Civil War, Deepwater Horizon, Kubo and the Two Strings

Best Animated Short

Piper

Sous Tes Doigts

Pearl

Inner Workings

The Head Vanishes

Potential Upsets: Borrowed Time, Blind Vaysha, Pear Cider and Cigarettes

Best Live-Action Short

Nocturne in Black

Timecode

The Way of Tea

The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy

Sing (Mindenki)

Potential Upsets: Bon Voyage, Graffiti, Ennemis Interieurs

Best Documentary Short

Joe’s Violin

The White Helmets

The Mute’s House

Extremis

Watani: My Homeland

Potential Upsets: The Other Side of Home, 4.1 Miles, Brillo Box

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